How Does the Government Recover the Vat Rate Change Shortfall?

Obviously, in reducing the VAT rate from 17.5% toHowever, they are now claiming that this was only
15% for a year will create a shortfall in theone option that had been discussed, that has since
government’s finances for the year. There are abeen rejected. It is estimated that this 1% VAT
variety of predictions on exactly how much this willincrease could net the Government around £5 billion.
be, however, most agree that it will be somewhereThe current plan is to increase the rate of income
in the region of £12.5 billion. The government willtax on high earners to 45%. Unlike the estimated
have to make this up in some way or another:£5 billion above, this is expected to recover just
One option the Treasury has considered, but is now£1.5 billion - plus it is likely that many high earners will
denying is to INCREASE the tax rate as thefind ways to avoid paying the extra tax.
economy recovers. The plans seen on an RevenueThe other, as of yet less mentioned part of the plan
and Customs website suggested thatis the increase in Petrol, Tobacco and Alcohol duty of
“The proposed changes will reduce this [the VAT2.5%, so these products will continue to cost the
rate] to 15% from December 1 2008 until the end ofsame. However, this duty hike will remain in place
2009. The standard rate will then return to 17.5%even after the VAT rate returns to 17.5% at the
from January 1 2010, and subsequently increase toend of next year, meaning Petrol, Tobacco and
18.5% in 2011-12.”Alcohol will actually be more expensive in the long run.